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Oxford Economics Analyzes the "Dual Shock" to Industries from New Trump Tariffs and Middle East Tensions

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Oxford Economics Enhances Monthly Updates for Industry Forecasts, Strengthening Geopolitical Risk Analysis.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the main theme of this report?
A: This report analyzes the impact of two global shocks on industries worldwide: the new tariff policy by the Trump administration and the escalating Middle East situation.
Q: What specifically are the "dual shocks"?
A: One is the uniform 15% tariff policy being considered by the Trump administration, and the other is the surge in energy prices due to the escalating Middle East situation.
Q: Will the tariff policy have the same impact on all industries?
A: No, the analysis suggests that the impact will differ by sector. Sectors like leather, apparel, and textiles may benefit from tariff reductions, but there are also concerns about investment suppression due to institutional uncertainty.
Q: Which industry is most affected by the energy price surge due to the Middle East situation?
A: "Gas-intensive industries" in particular are at risk of severe cost increases. Among these, the chemical industry, which uses natural gas as both an energy source and a raw material, is analyzed to be heavily impacted.
Q: How have Oxford Economics' industry forecast services been enhanced?
A: In response to rising global volatility, the update frequency for "Global Industry Forecasts" has been enhanced to a monthly basis. This allows for the rapid incorporation of geopolitical risks and economic shocks into predictive models.
Q: What kind of data is provided in the enhanced industry forecast service?
A: Monthly forecasts up to 2060 are provided for over 100 industries in 77 countries (covering production volume, investment, sales, profits, energy demand, emissions, etc.). Multiple scenarios for major macroeconomic risks are also presented.
Q: Is there a free trial available?
A: Yes, a two-week free trial for the enhanced "Global Industry Service" is available.